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For the fiscal year ending March 2027, Sumitomo Osaka Cement guides to ¥234.5 billion in sales, ¥15.0 billion in operating profit, ¥14.5 billion in ordinary profit and ¥10.0 billion in net income. Kabuyoho’s consensus snapshot dated October 26, 2026 is modestly higher: ¥236.767 billion, ¥15.527 billion, ¥15.231 billion and ¥10.898 billion, respectively. Both outlooks expect sales and operating profit to improve from FY2025, but net income remains below the ¥11.214 billion actually attributable to parent-company owners in FY2025.
What are Sumitomo Osaka Cement’s latest FY2027 estimates?
The company’s forecast and the latest analyst consensus are close on revenue, while analysts are more optimistic about operating and ordinary profit. The figures below are consolidated and stated in ¥ millions unless noted.
| Metric | FY2025 actual | FY2027 company guidance | FY2027 analyst consensus | Consensus versus guidance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | 223,686 | 234,500 (+4.8%) | 236,767 (+5.8%) | +2,267 |
| Operating profit | 13,648 | 15,000 (+9.9%) | 15,527 (+13.8%) | +527 |
| Ordinary profit | 14,405 | 14,500 (+0.7%) | 15,231 (+5.7%) | +731 |
| Net income attributable to owners | 11,214 | 10,000 (-10.8%) | 10,898 (-2.8%) | +898 |
| Dividend per share | 120 | 120 forecast | 120 forecast | Flat forecast |
FY2025 actuals and company guidance come from the issuer’s financial-results materials, summarized by Japan IR on October 6, 2026. The consensus is Kabuyoho Pro’s October 26, 2026 snapshot. Percent changes are measured against FY2025 actuals.
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Analysts anticipate a somewhat stronger recovery in demand and profit conversion than the company’s formal plan. The difference is limited for sales but larger for operating profit, suggesting expectations for better product mix, pricing or productivity rather than a radically different top-line outlook.
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- Consensus sales are ¥2.267 billion above guidance.
- Consensus operating profit is ¥527 million higher, implying more operating leverage.
- Consensus ordinary profit is ¥731 million higher, reflecting expectations for items below operating profit as well as core operations.
- Consensus net income is ¥898 million above guidance, although still ¥316 million below FY2025 actual net income.
Ordinary profit can diverge from operating profit because of interest expense, foreign-exchange effects and the reversal of earlier gains on policy-held shares. Those items make the ordinary-profit estimate less directly tied to cement and high-performance-product volumes.
What is driving Sumitomo Osaka Cement’s earnings forecast?
Semiconductor recovery and electrostatic chucks
The issuer identifies higher volumes of electrostatic chucks in its high-performance-products business as a principal source of sales and profit growth as semiconductor demand recovers. Its forecast bridge attributes a substantial positive contribution to electrostatic-chuck quantity and mix. New manufacturing capacity brings additional depreciation, while development spending reduces part of the benefit.
Cement pricing versus energy costs
Cement profitability remains exposed to coal, oil, electricity and raw-material costs, as well as currency movements. Management’s cited assumptions use ¥155 per US dollar and coal at $140 per tonne. Pricing actions, product mix and efficiency improvements are expected to offset some of the energy and input-cost pressure, not eliminate it.
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Management’s sensitivity figures
The issuer’s presentation gives annual sensitivity estimates rather than guarantees:
- A $1-per-tonne fall in coal prices would improve annual profit by about ¥90 million.
- A $1-per-barrel fall in oil prices would improve annual profit by about ¥60 million.
- A ¥1 strengthening of the yen against the US dollar would improve annual profit by about ¥90 million.
These sensitivities apply to management’s stated assumptions and can change with volumes, hedging, contracts and operating conditions.
Why can net income decline while operating profit rises?
Operating profit is forecast to rise as high-performance products recover and cement operations absorb costs, but net income is affected by financing, non-operating and tax items. The company therefore guides to ¥10.0 billion of net income, 10.8% below FY2025, while consensus expects ¥10.898 billion, only 2.8% below FY2025. The gap between operating and net-income trends is a reminder that an improving factory-level result does not automatically produce higher earnings attributable to shareholders.
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What does the ¥120 dividend forecast indicate?
Both the issuer’s cited materials and the consensus snapshot show a ¥120-per-share forecast, unchanged from the FY2025 figure in the estimate table. That is a forecast, not a declared payment; investors still need the company’s subsequent dividend decision and earnings updates to confirm it.
How should investors interpret longer-term model estimates?
Simply Wall St’s page, last updated September 7, 2026, presents a separate model rather than company guidance or Kabuyoho consensus. It reports forecast annual earnings growth of 18.9%, revenue growth of 5.2%, EPS growth of 19.29% and three-year forward return on equity of about 10.01%. The page also records an earlier FY2027 EPS-consensus revision from ¥377 to ¥317. Because these are model outputs and a historical revision, they should be kept separate from the current FY2027 yen estimates above.
When is the next Sumitomo Osaka Cement earnings update?
The company’s official investor-relations calendar lists November 11, 2026 for the planned interim-results disclosure. That release is the next scheduled opportunity to compare actual first-half performance, updated costs and semiconductor-related volumes with the FY2027 assumptions.
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What could make these estimates miss?
Coal, oil, electricity and raw-material inflation could squeeze cement margins if price increases lag costs. A weaker-than-expected semiconductor recovery would reduce electrostatic-chuck volumes or worsen mix, while foreign-exchange moves can affect both costs and reported results. Conversely, stronger product volumes, favorable mix, lower energy prices or a stronger yen could lift profit above the stated plan.
The company’s financial-results disclosure says, “The statements regarding forecasts of financial results in this report are based on information that is available to the Company at present.” It also warns that actual results may differ materially as conditions change, so guidance and consensus should be treated as time-stamped estimates rather than promises.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Is there a Sumitomo Osaka Cement target price in these estimates?
No target price is provided in the cited guidance and consensus figures. They cover sales, profit, net income and the dividend forecast; a valuation target would require a separate analyst report and assumptions about the share price.
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What does the EPS forecast tell investors here?
The independent model cited by Simply Wall St reports 19.29% forecast annual EPS growth and notes that an earlier FY2027 EPS consensus was revised from ¥377 to ¥317. Those figures are model-based and should not be substituted for the issuer’s yen-denominated net-income guidance.
How often should this forecast be rechecked?
Recheck it after scheduled results, major investor-relations disclosures and material changes in energy prices, exchange rates or semiconductor demand. The November 11, 2026 interim release is the next dated checkpoint currently listed by the company.
Are the consensus figures a guarantee of Sumitomo Osaka Cement’s results?
No. Consensus represents analysts’ aggregated expectations at a specific date, while management guidance reflects the company’s own assumptions. Both can change before the fiscal year ending March 2027.
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