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There is no dependable public analyst consensus, earnings forecast, or price target for Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002761). Simply Wall St reports insufficient analyst coverage, while StockAnalysis shows no analyst target or forward P/E. The most defensible approach is therefore a filing-based scenario analysis, not a single target price. The company’s 2025 profit rose 11.01% despite almost-flat revenue, but first-half 2026 revenue fell 9.60% even as attributable profit increased 49.27%; operating cash flow turned negative. Those mixed signals make contract execution, receivables and cash conversion more important than a headline EPS extrapolation.
What is SZSE:002761?
Zhejiang Construction Investment Group Co., Ltd. (浙江省建设投资集团股份有限公司) is listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange under security code 002761. Its Class A business spans building construction, industrial manufacturing, engineering-related activities and other segments. The company is a large project contractor, so revenue and cash generation can move differently when project milestones, customer payments and working-capital requirements change.
The company’s annual report identifies Tao Guan-feng as responsible officer, Chen Haiyan as acting chief accounting officer and Zhuang Peicun as accounting head. It states: “公司负责人陶关锋、主管会计工作负责人陈海燕（代行）及会计机构负责人（会计主管人员）庄培存声明：保证财务报告内容的真实、准确、完整。”
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2025 audited year
For 2025, reported revenue was RMB81,108,255,468.09 and attributable net profit was RMB214,535,657.02. Basic earnings per share (EPS) was RMB0.1300 and operating cash flow was RMB3,811,831,793.58. Revenue increased 0.58% year over year, while attributable profit increased 11.01%, indicating that profit grew faster than sales from a low-margin base.
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First half of 2026
The interim report shows revenue of RMB36,284,188,937.77, down 9.60% year over year. Attributable net profit reached RMB249,408,779.63, up 49.27%, and basic EPS was RMB0.1714, up 10.94%. Operating cash flow was negative RMB2,292,130,124.91. At June 30, 2026, total assets were RMB119,690,581,237.73 and attributable equity was RMB10,481,866,666.59.
| Metric | 2025 audited | First half 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | RMB81,108,255,468.09; up 0.58% year over year | RMB36,284,188,937.77; down 9.60% year over year |
| Attributable net profit | RMB214,535,657.02; up 11.01% | RMB249,408,779.63; up 49.27% |
| Basic EPS | RMB0.1300 | RMB0.1714; up 10.94% |
| Operating cash flow | RMB3,811,831,793.58 | Negative RMB2,292,130,124.91 |
The combination of higher reported profit and negative interim operating cash flow is not automatically contradictory in construction. Unpaid progress billings, advances, retention amounts and timing of subcontractor payments can leave accounting profit ahead of cash collection. It does, however, make cash conversion and receivables recovery essential checks for any 002761 earnings forecast.
Why is there no SZSE:002761 analyst estimate or price target?
Simply Wall St says it lacks sufficient analyst coverage to forecast Zhejiang Construction Investment Group’s growth and revenue and lists coverage as “None.” StockAnalysis lists analyst estimates and price target as “n/a,” with no forward P/E. Consequently, searches for “SZSE:002761 analyst estimates,” “002761 price target,” or a numerical “Zhejiang Construction Investment Group revenue forecast” should not be interpreted as finding a published Wall Street consensus.
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Any numerical target created from the available filings would be an independent investor model. It should be labeled that way and updated when the company reports new revenue, profit, cash-flow and contract data.
How can investors frame a 002761 forecast without consensus?
A scenario framework is more honest than a point estimate because the filings show divergent sales, profit and cash trends. The following cases are independent analytical lenses, not company guidance or analyst forecasts.
| Scenario | Conditions to watch | Likely implication for estimates |
|---|---|---|
| Downside | Revenue weakness persists; receivables take longer to collect; operating cash flow remains negative; litigation or contract-performance costs rise. | Lower confidence in reported profit quality, pressure on EPS expectations and a greater funding requirement. |
| Base case | Existing projects progress broadly as planned, collections normalize and management’s construction-upgrade program offsets soft new sales. | Profit remains positive but estimates stay highly sensitive to cash conversion and project timing; no precise target is justified. |
| Upside | Large contracts convert into recognized output, overseas and Zhejiang public projects execute smoothly, and technology or non-construction businesses add profitable growth. | Higher revenue visibility and operating leverage could support stronger EPS, provided cash generation improves with profit. |
To update a model, track year-over-year revenue, attributable profit, basic EPS and operating cash flow together. Then compare new-contract value and total output value with revenue: contract intake is a pipeline indicator, not immediate revenue, and cannot be treated as backlog that will all be recognized in one period.
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What projects and strategy could drive the outlook?
The 2025 report recorded new contract value of RMB1,468.16 billion and total output value of RMB1,198.31 billion. Major Zhejiang infrastructure and public projects contributed to activity, while the company also reported expansion into the UAE, Russia and Vietnam. Geographic diversification may broaden the opportunity set, but it adds currency, regulatory, counterparty and execution variables that a simple domestic revenue extrapolation would miss.
The 2026 interim report describes priorities to upgrade the construction business, expand non-construction segments, scale new-economy companies, improve investment management, and increase technology work in intelligent construction and green, low-carbon building. These are strategic directions rather than quantified earnings guidance; investors need subsequent segment disclosures and cash results to determine whether they are financially material.
What are the main risks to a 002761 estimate?
- Macroeconomic and policy risk: changes in infrastructure spending, property conditions or regulation can alter project starts and margins.
- Receivables-recovery risk: delayed customer payments can consume cash even when revenue and profit are recognized.
- Litigation exposure: disputes may create costs, delays or additional provisions.
- Intensified competition: aggressive bidding can reduce contract margins and weaken returns.
- Contract-performance risk: cost overruns, delays, quality issues or subcontractor problems can reduce project profitability.
- Cash-flow risk: the negative first-half 2026 operating cash flow shows why earnings should not be valued without checking working capital and funding needs.
What does the available valuation snapshot say?
StockAnalysis reported a delayed CNY7.68 share price on September 30, 2026, with data last checked October 2. It showed market capitalization of about CNY10.18 billion, trailing revenue of CNY77.25 billion, net income of CNY296.85 million, EPS of CNY0.18 and a trailing P/E of 43.70. These are historical snapshot figures, not a live quote for October 26, 2026, and the service supplied no analyst target or forward P/E.
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| Valuation item | Reported snapshot | Qualification |
|---|---|---|
| Share price | CNY7.68 | Delayed; September 30, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About CNY10.18 billion | Snapshot checked October 2, 2026 |
| Trailing revenue | CNY77.25 billion | Historical trailing figure |
| Trailing net income | CNY296.85 million | Historical trailing figure |
| Trailing EPS | CNY0.18 | Historical trailing figure |
| Trailing P/E | 43.70 | No forward P/E supplied |
A trailing multiple can change materially when profit, share price or one-off project effects change. It should therefore be read alongside cash flow, receivables and contract execution rather than used as a standalone 002761 price target.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.Which filings should be monitored next?
- Check the next annual or interim report for revenue, attributable profit, EPS and operating cash flow together.
- Review receivables, contract assets and provisions for evidence that reported profit is converting into cash.
- Compare new-contract value and output value with the prior period, noting project type and geography.
- Look for segment-level disclosure on construction, manufacturing, engineering-related and newer businesses.
- Reassess litigation, contract-performance and overseas risks before changing any scenario assumption.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Class A mean for this Shenzhen-listed stock?
Class A identifies the company’s ordinary RMB-denominated shares traded on the mainland exchange. It is a share-class and listing description, not an analyst-rating category or a forecast methodology.
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No. Contract awards represent work won, while revenue is recognized as obligations are performed under accounting rules. Timing, cancellations, project changes and customer acceptance can all separate contract value from reported sales.
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Where can I verify 002761’s reported numbers?
Use the company’s officially filed annual and interim reports and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange disclosure record. Check the report date and whether a figure is consolidated, attributable, basic EPS or a cash-flow measure before comparing periods.
How often should an investor update a 002761 forecast?
At minimum, refresh it after each annual and interim report, and sooner if the company announces a major contract, litigation outcome, financing, disposal or material overseas development. Keep the assumptions dated so a later scenario is not mistaken for an earlier estimate.
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