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Bitcoin briefly moved above $87,000 on October 2, 2026, after a report of weaker-than-expected US payroll growth coincided with falling Treasury yields and reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike. The move did not hold: Cointelegraph, citing TradingView data, reported a Bitstamp high of $87,229 and said Bitcoin had fallen back below $86,000 by publication time. The jobs report was described as a catalyst for the rally, not proof of its sole cause.

Why did Bitcoin hit $87,000?

The immediate explanation in Cointelegraph’s October 2 report was a weaker-than-expected US jobs figure. Cointelegraph reported that September nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000, against an 84,000 expectation, and that August’s increase was revised down from 162,000 to 133,000. Those figures are reported by Cointelegraph; they are not independently confirmed here against the official Bureau of Labor Statistics release.

Markets can interpret weaker employment growth as a reason for the Federal Reserve to keep policy less restrictive than previously expected. Cointelegraph linked the payroll report to lower Treasury yields and a reduction in expectations for a near-term rate hike, conditions that can support demand for risk assets such as Bitcoin. That is a contemporaneous market explanation, not evidence that jobs data alone caused the price move.

How do Treasury yields affect Bitcoin?

Treasury yields are a reference point for returns on relatively low-risk US government debt. When yields fall, some investors may find riskier assets more attractive by comparison; lower yields can also reflect expectations of easier monetary policy. That relationship can help explain why a rate-sensitive market might respond positively to a weaker jobs report, but it does not make Bitcoin’s price response automatic.

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QCP Capital’s October 2 market note offered a conditional version of that view: “For Bitcoin, a Treasury relief rally would provide the cleanest upside catalyst. The asset has already demonstrated resilience through a real-rate shock that pressured gold.” This was QCP Capital’s assessment, not a guaranteed outcome or consensus forecast.

Was the move above $87,000 sustained?

No. Cointelegraph reported a Bitstamp intraday high of $87,229 on October 2, citing TradingView, then said Bitcoin had retreated below $86,000 by the time the report was published. The $87,229 figure is a reported historical price observation, not a current quote or evidence that Bitcoin established $87,000 as a lasting level. Cointelegraph described the high as near an eight-month high, not an all-time high.

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QCP Capital’s note gave a separate market observation: a spot Bitcoin print of $86,913. It also described a 14.6% gain from its September 15 low of $74,968. These are figures from QCP’s note and should not be confused with Cointelegraph’s reported Bitstamp high.

What else may have contributed to the rally?

The payroll-and-yields explanation is only one part of the picture. QCP Capital discussed flows and positioning alongside macroeconomic conditions, including ETF flows, real yields, regulatory developments, options positioning, and technical levels. It also warned that flows could shift rapidly and market dynamics could remain structurally fragile.

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Cointelegraph additionally discussed technical resistance and order-book liquidity. These factors can interact: a change in macro expectations may coincide with positioning or trading flows that amplify a move, while nearby resistance or limited liquidity can affect how far a price advances. The available reporting does not isolate the contribution of any one factor.

How to read claims about Fed rate-cut or hike odds

Rate probabilities shown by CME FedWatch are implied by prices in 30-Day Fed Funds futures; they are not the Federal Reserve’s own forecast or a promise about its next decision. CME asks media to attribute them as “CME FedWatch” probabilities. Because the live tool changes, a historical probability for October 2 requires a timestamped capture. No specific historical percentage is established here.

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What the reported jobs figures do—and do not—establish

The payroll numbers above are attributed to Cointelegraph’s October 2, 2026 report. Without the official BLS release in hand, they should not be presented as independently verified government figures. The report’s reaction and market interpretation explain the timing of Bitcoin’s move, but they do not establish a single cause or show that the price would continue rising.

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