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There isn’t enough evidence to name Applied Digital or IREN the better buy at the October 2026 share price. Applied Digital offers a thesis built around large, long-term data-center leases that still depend on construction and customer delivery. IREN already earns AI Cloud revenue, but Bitcoin mining remained its larger revenue source for FY2026. The better stock depends on execution and the price investors pay—not on comparing contract totals with current revenue.
Applied Digital and IREN at a glance
The figures below come from each company’s FY2026 disclosures: Applied Digital’s fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, and IREN’s ended June 30, 2026. The different reporting dates and company-defined non-GAAP measures matter when comparing them.
| Measure | Applied Digital (APLD) | IREN (IREN) |
|---|---|---|
| FY2026 revenue | $611.3 million reported revenue, including $270.6 million of tenant fit-out services. The company also reported $539.7 million of adjusted revenue, a company-defined non-GAAP measure that excludes ChronoScale. | $707.0 million total revenue: $578.2 million from Bitcoin mining and $128.8 million from AI Cloud Services. |
| FY2026 reported earnings and adjusted EBITDA | $249.2 million net loss attributable to common stockholders; $107.2 million adjusted EBITDA, a company-defined non-GAAP measure that excludes ChronoScale. | $702.6 million net loss and $245.7 million adjusted EBITDA. Impairments and financial-instrument accounting affected reported results. |
| AI data-center capacity | About 1,410 MW of contracted critical IT load across five campuses as of May 31, 2026; 175 MW was live at Polaris Forge 1 by June 30, 2026. | About 40 MW of operating AI Cloud Services capacity at June 30, 2026. Higher announced delivery goals are targets, not operating capacity. |
| Contracts, goals, and pipeline | About $36 billion in base-term contracted lease revenue. The company said the total could reach about $86 billion if renewal options are exercised; that is a conditional case, not base-term contract value. | Management targeted cumulative IT deliveries of 0.3 GW in 2026 and 0.8 GW in 2027, with a pipeline exceeding 5 GW. The targets and pipeline are not delivered capacity or current revenue. |
| Liquidity and financing disclosed | At May 31, 2026, $4.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, alongside $5.0 billion in debt. | At June 30, 2026, $5.896 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $1.724 billion in restricted cash; the company also reported $14 billion of GPU financing and prepayments. |
These are company-reported figures from Applied Digital’s FY2026 release and Form 10-K and IREN’s FY2026 results release and Form 20-F. Adjusted measures are not standardized across companies and should not be treated as directly comparable to GAAP results or cash flow.
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Applied Digital: lease-driven data-center development
Applied Digital develops and operates purpose-built data centers for high-performance computing (HPC) and AI, alongside data-center hosting and its majority-owned ChronoScale cloud operations. Its investment case centers on delivering large campus projects and turning signed leases into operating facilities and recurring rent.
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The key distinction is between contracted capacity and capacity already serving customers. The company’s contracted load spans projects at different stages, and some newly signed leases are expected to begin operations in 2027 or 2028. Total lease value accumulates over long contract terms; it is not an annual revenue run rate. Construction progress, ready-for-service milestones, customer commencement dates, and tenant performance determine when the contracts contribute revenue.
IREN: an operating AI cloud business alongside Bitcoin mining
IREN describes a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform spanning data centers, compute, and software. It is shifting some infrastructure and investment toward AI while continuing to generate substantial revenue from Bitcoin mining. That makes it a transition story: it has an operating AI services business, but it is not yet an AI-only company.
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The current AI footprint and future targets should be kept separate. Operating capacity is the clearest evidence of what is already deployed; management’s delivery goals and pipeline describe what it hopes to build or bring online. Hitting those goals depends on power, construction, equipment deployment, customer demand, and financing.
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Applied Digital’s fit-out revenue is different from rent
Tenant fit-out services contributed substantially to Applied Digital’s reported FY2026 revenue and had related service costs. Those services can increase revenue during a build-out without creating an equivalent stream of recurring lease rent. Investors assessing the lease thesis should distinguish fit-out work from rent after a facility is delivered and a lease commences.
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Its reported net loss and adjusted EBITDA also answer different questions. Adjusted EBITDA is a company-defined non-GAAP measure; it does not erase the GAAP loss or establish how much cash is available after construction spending, financing costs, and other obligations. Review the filing’s reconciliations and the company’s treatment of ChronoScale when assessing the adjusted figures.
IREN’s GAAP loss reflects both operating transition and accounting effects
IREN’s FY2026 net loss included $638.8 million of impairment charges, primarily connected to its strategic transition and asset displacement. Unrealized gains on financial instruments also affected reported results. These items make the net loss an incomplete shorthand for the performance of its mining and AI Cloud operations, but they do not make the GAAP result irrelevant.
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IREN’s adjusted EBITDA is also a company-defined non-GAAP measure, not a substitute for cash flow or proof that the AI business is profitable on a standalone basis. To judge the transition, investors need to track AI Cloud revenue and margins alongside mining revenue, capital expenditure, financing, impairments, and the accounting adjustments in the company’s reconciliation.
Where the main investment risks differ
Applied Digital’s delivery, tenant, and funding risks
- Construction and commencement: A signed lease does not generate its full economic value until the facility is built, delivered, and operating under the contract.
- Customer concentration: Several recent large leases involve the same high-investment-grade hyperscaler. Campus or contract totals alone do not reveal how dependent the business is on particular tenants.
- Capital requirements: Building large campuses requires sustained funding. Debt, construction costs, financing access, and potential share issuance can affect returns to existing shareholders.
IREN’s transition, mining, and funding risks
- Ongoing Bitcoin exposure: Mining produced more FY2026 revenue than AI Cloud Services, leaving results exposed to Bitcoin mining economics during the transition.
- Conversion and deployment: The company must expand operating AI capacity and execute its delivery plans while managing the shift from mining infrastructure and assets.
- Funding and dilution: GPU commitments, data-center investment, and other capital needs can influence debt, available liquidity, and per-share economics. Restricted cash is not the same as freely available cash, and financing or prepayment commitments should not be added to cash as though they were cash on hand.
The balance-sheet disclosures above are from different dates and classify restricted cash differently, so they do not support a simple ranking of which company has more usable liquidity. Both businesses face substantial execution and funding demands.
Best Value
What would make one stock a better buy?
Business comparisons do not determine expected stock returns without valuation. A sound APLD-versus-IREN decision needs synchronized market data and explicit assumptions, including:
- Price and capital structure: Compare market capitalization and enterprise value using the same share-price date, current debt and cash definitions, and diluted share counts. Potential dilution matters for businesses financing large build-outs.
- Revenue quality: Estimate recurring lease revenue after delivery separately from tenant fit-out services; for IREN, separate AI Cloud economics from Bitcoin mining revenue.
- Delivery evidence: Track live capacity, construction milestones, power availability, equipment installation, and customer start dates rather than treating signed capacity or a pipeline as completed infrastructure.
- Customer and contract risk: Examine tenant concentration, credit quality, contract terms, prepayments, termination rights, and the consequences of delayed delivery.
- Funding and returns: Test construction and GPU spending against debt costs, financing availability, restricted cash, and likely future capital needs. Compare credible forward cash flow or earnings assumptions, not only headline revenue growth.
The available FY2026 disclosures do not establish synchronized October 2026 share prices, diluted share counts, market capitalizations, enterprise values, or forward earnings and cash-flow assumptions. Without those inputs, neither a relative valuation nor a defensible price-based buy recommendation can be established.
How to follow the comparison through 2026
For Applied Digital, watch whether contracted projects reach ready-for-service milestones and lease commencement, how much reported revenue comes from recurring rent versus fit-out work, and whether customer exposure or financing needs change. For IREN, watch operating AI capacity and AI Cloud revenue against mining revenue, the pace of actual deliveries against management’s targets, and the capital and transition costs required to expand.
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Verdict
Applied Digital is the more direct fit for an investor seeking exposure to contracted HPC data-center leases and willing to underwrite delivery, tenant concentration, and construction financing. IREN is the more direct fit for an investor seeking an operating AI Cloud business within a company still materially exposed to Bitcoin mining, and willing to underwrite its transition and capacity expansion. Those are different risk profiles, not a conclusion that either stock is cheaper or offers the better return. The buy decision remains unresolved until each business is evaluated at a current, comparable valuation.
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