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Six important AI security themes for a 2025-focused view are AI-assisted cybercrime, attacks on model behavior, privacy and model extraction, ordinary software-security weaknesses in AI deployments, AI-assisted defense, and evolving governance. They are an editorial synthesis, not a ranked list or a claim that these were measured as the six biggest trends. Because 2025 has passed, the forecast and draft guidance below are identified by their dates and status rather than presented as confirmed outcomes.

What are the AI security trends to watch in a 2025-focused view?

The common thread is that AI can amplify familiar digital threats while introducing risks tied to AI systems themselves. A UK government assessment looking ahead to 2025 forecast that generative AI was more likely to amplify existing risks than create wholly new ones, while sharply increasing the speed and scale of some threats. That was a forecast, not a measurement of what ultimately happened in 2025. NIST makes a complementary point: security concerns that apply to other information systems also apply to AI, alongside AI-specific risks.

The six themes below organize those concerns by target and response. They are not a frequency ranking: the cited sources offer a forecast, security taxonomy, and risk-management guidance, not comparable figures showing how often each threat occurred.

Theme Primary target Broad security question
AI-assisted cybercrime People and organizations Can AI amplify existing deception or fraud?
Model behavior and integrity Models and their inputs Can an attacker manipulate, corrupt, or misuse an AI system?
Privacy and model extraction Data and model information Can an attacker infer protected information or reproduce model behavior?
Deployment security Software, infrastructure, and services Are the AI system and its dependencies secured?
AI for defense Security operations Does an AI capability help with a defined defensive task?
Governance and reassessment Organizational decisions and controls Are risk assumptions and safeguards kept current?

How is generative AI changing cybersecurity?

1. AI-assisted cybercrime and social engineering

Generative AI can act as a force multiplier for existing digital threats, including fraud, deception, and cybercrime. The UK government assessment judged digital risks the most likely and highest-impact risks in its horizon to 2025, and expected generative AI to increase the speed and scale of some threats. This supports watching for amplification of established attack patterns; it does not establish a particular growth rate or show that every criminal group uses AI.

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For organizations, the practical response is to strengthen defenses against the underlying activity rather than assume there is a wholly new attack category. Review how staff and customers verify unusual requests, maintain reporting and escalation paths for suspected fraud, and test whether incident procedures still work when deceptive messages can be produced or adapted quickly. The assessment is a forecast and should not be read as a measured account of 2025 incidents. Read the UK government assessment.

2. Attacks on model behavior and integrity

NIST’s March 24, 2025 report, Adversarial Machine Learning: A Taxonomy and Terminology of Attacks and Mitigations, organizes attacks on generative AI into four categories: evasion, poisoning, privacy, and misuse. The categories describe different attacker goals and mechanisms; they are not interchangeable techniques, and no single attack should be assumed to work against every model or deployment.

  • Evasion: attempts to cause a system to behave incorrectly through adversarial inputs.
  • Poisoning: attempts to influence a system by corrupting or manipulating data used in its development or operation.
  • Privacy: attempts to learn information about data or model behavior that should remain protected.
  • Misuse: attempts to use an AI system in ways that undermine its intended safe or legitimate use.

Use the taxonomy to build threat scenarios specific to the system’s inputs, data pipeline, and deployment. NIST also discusses limitations in some mitigation techniques, so a control should be tested against the actual use case rather than treated as universal protection. See NIST’s adversarial machine learning report.

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3. Privacy leakage and model extraction

Privacy attacks deserve separate attention because they concern what an attacker can infer or reproduce from a system, not only whether its outputs are accurate. NIST’s security overview names model extraction and membership inference among issues that current frameworks do not comprehensively address. Model extraction concerns learning or reproducing aspects of a model through access to it; membership inference concerns determining whether particular data was included in a model’s training data.

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These are established areas of security research, not evidence that a particular deployed AI service leaks user data. Organizations should identify what sensitive information a model can access, who can query it, and what information its responses could expose. Then test privacy safeguards using the system’s real data and access patterns. NIST’s security and resilience overview lists these concerns alongside other AI security challenges.

What risks do AI systems face beyond model attacks?

4. AI deployments inherit software and information-system risks

An AI system is not just a model. It runs on software and depends on data, infrastructure, and services, so weaknesses in those components can expose the deployment even when the model itself is not the point of attack. NIST states that security concerns common to data and information systems apply to AI systems too, while also calling for attention to AI-specific risks. Its overview includes availability and evasion among concerns that current frameworks do not fully address.

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Map the model and its dependencies, then apply established software-security practices across development and deployment. That includes tracking components and access, protecting data and services, and preparing to detect and respond to failures. This is a practical application of NIST’s guidance, not a claim that a particular deployment weakness has become more prevalent.

5. AI for defense as well as offense

AI can support digital defenses as well as threats. The UK assessment noted this possibility, and NIST’s preliminary AI cybersecurity profile advises organizations to evaluate AI defense capabilities for the purpose they are meant to serve. The existence of a capability is not proof that it will improve security outcomes in a particular environment.

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Before deployment, define the defensive task and the expected result, then assess the system against that use case. Consider what happens when it produces an incorrect result, how a human can review or override it, and how performance and operational risks will be monitored. Treat AI as one component of a defense process, not a substitute for deciding who is responsible for an alert or response.

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6. Governance and continuous reassessment

AI deployments, their degree of autonomy, and the capabilities available to attackers and defenders can change. A control that matched an earlier use case may no longer address the system’s current exposure. Governance therefore needs to connect AI security to enterprise risk management and revisit assumptions as systems and threats evolve.

NIST’s Cybersecurity Framework Profile for Artificial Intelligence was an initial preliminary draft dated December 2025, not final guidance. The draft recommends integrating AI cybersecurity into enterprise risk management and reviewing risk tolerance as threat and defense capabilities change. Organizations can use that direction as a prompt to assign ownership, document systems and dependencies, set review triggers, and reassess safeguards when the model, data, deployment, or intended use changes. Read the December 2025 preliminary draft profile.

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How should an organization turn these trends into security work?

  1. Inventory AI systems and dependencies. Record where models are used, what data and services they rely on, who can access them, and what decisions they affect.
  2. Apply baseline security practices. Secure the software, infrastructure, data, and services around each system, not only the model.
  3. Write AI-specific threat scenarios. Consider manipulation of inputs or data, privacy inference, extraction, misuse, and availability in the context of the actual deployment.
  4. Test controls in the intended use case. Evaluate both preventive measures and the processes for detecting, reviewing, and responding to failures. Do not assume one mitigation covers every model or setting.
  5. Revisit risk decisions when conditions change. Review safeguards when the system, its autonomy, data access, threat assumptions, or defensive capabilities change.

NIST’s overview emphasizes secure development practices for AI models and notes that this area changes rapidly. The steps above are practical synthesis of that guidance, not a guarantee of protection. Neither the reviewed forecast nor the NIST materials establish comparable prevalence figures for these six themes, so percentages or a claim that one is the most common would need separate, suitable evidence.

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