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The 50/90 rule is a rough way to estimate tidal-current speed between slack water and peak flow: at one-third of the slack-to-peak interval, the current is about 50% of its peak; at two-thirds, about 90%; and at the interval’s end, it reaches peak. The pattern reverses as the current slows toward slack. It estimates water moving horizontally—not the tide’s height—and should not replace local current predictions when planning a boat trip.

How the 50/90 rule works

Start with the time from slack water—the period of little horizontal movement—to peak current. Divide that interval into three equal parts. The rule estimates current speed at about 50% of peak after the first part, 90% after the second, and 100% at peak. As the flow weakens, the estimates reverse.

The shorthand sequence is 0/50/90/100/90/50/0: slack, increasing flow, peak, decreasing flow, then slack again. These percentages are estimates in a navigation rule of thumb, not results from a published accuracy study. Starpath’s navigation material describes the rule; use thirds of the actual slack-to-peak interval rather than assuming fixed hourly steps.

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Example using a three-hour interval

If the interval from slack to peak is three hours, the estimate is 50% of peak after one hour, 90% after two hours, and peak after three hours. The reverse sequence applies after peak. The clock times in this example illustrate the calculation; they are not a tide prediction.

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What it estimates—and what it does not

The rule estimates tidal-current speed, the horizontal movement of water. It does not estimate tide height, the vertical rise and fall of the water. NOAA explains the distinction between tides and tidal currents in its tides overview.

Do not confuse it with the Rule of Twelfths, which is a rough method for estimating changes in water height between high and low water. The two rules estimate different things. Neither is a substitute for a location-specific prediction.

Why the estimate has limits for boating

Slack current may not coincide with high or low water

The time of slack current and the time of high or low tide do not necessarily match. The relationship varies by location, so a high- or low-water time cannot automatically be used as the slack point for the 50/90 calculation. NOAA describes the relationship between tides and currents as a general rule of thumb, not a universal timing rule.

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Conditions can differ from astronomical predictions

NOAA’s predictions cover astronomical tides—water-level changes driven by the Moon, Sun, and their relative motions. They do not capture short-term changes caused by wind, rain, freshwater runoff, and other meteorological effects. Observed water levels and currents can therefore differ from the predicted pattern.

The percentages are not a safety guarantee

The 50% and 90% figures are the rule’s approximate milestones; the sources do not establish a measured accuracy rate. Use the rule only as a mental estimate, not as proof that a route, channel, or crossing is safe.

How to use it when planning a trip

  1. Find local current information. Look up predictions for the specific location and the relevant date, including current speed and direction. NOAA provides tide and current prediction services.
  2. Identify the local slack-to-peak interval. Do not infer slack from high or low tide unless local information supports that timing.
  3. Divide the interval into thirds. Use the 50%, 90%, and 100% estimates at the first, second, and third divisions.
  4. Use the prediction for the decision. Consider current direction and speed along with tide height and timing, especially in shallow ports, intracoastal waterways, and estuaries. The estimate does not account for changing weather or runoff.

NOAA distinguishes tide tables, which give times and heights, from current tables, which give times and speeds for flood, ebb, and slack. Its annual printed tide and current tables were discontinued after 2020; its online services provide predictions. See NOAA’s Tides & Currents FAQ for prediction context.

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50/90 rule versus tide-height rules and predictions

Method or information What it describes Basis Best use
50/90 rule Approximate tidal-current speed Thirds of the slack-to-peak interval A rough mental estimate of how flow builds and eases
Rule of Twelfths Approximate change in water height Fractions of the high-to-low tide interval A rough estimate of vertical water-level change
Local current prediction Predicted current speed and direction at a location Location-specific prediction Trip timing and route planning, alongside tide-height information

NOAA’s tide information explains why current behavior and water height are distinct, while its prediction services provide location-specific information for navigation decisions.

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