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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) now estimates that nonfarm payroll employment fell by 10,000 in July 2026. That is the latest estimate in the BLS Employment Situation release published October 2, 2026—not a final count. It replaces the September 4 estimate of a 21,000 gain, which itself had replaced the initial August 7 estimate of a 23,000 decline.
What was the revised July jobs number?
In its October 2, 2026, Employment Situation release, the BLS revised July nonfarm payroll employment down by 31,000, from an estimated gain of 21,000 to an estimated loss of 10,000. The change is a revision to the earlier estimate, not a separate count of a different month.
These figures describe changes in nonfarm payroll employment, not the number of all people employed or unemployed. The payroll measure is an estimate that can change as BLS receives additional data.
How did the July estimate change over time?
| BLS release date | July estimate in that release | Change to July estimate | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 7, 2026 | Down 23,000 | Initial estimate | First reported July figure |
| September 4, 2026 | Up 21,000 | Revised upward by 44,000 | Later estimate |
| October 2, 2026 | Down 10,000 | Revised downward by 31,000 | Latest estimate reported here |
The sequence matters: the September release changed July from a loss to a gain, and the October release changed it back to a loss. The figures are successive estimates available on different release dates, not contradictory versions of one finalized number.
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Why did July job growth turn into a loss?
The BLS says monthly revisions reflect additional reports it receives from businesses and government agencies since the prior estimates, as well as recalculated seasonal factors. In the September 4, 2026, release, the agency explained: “Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.” That describes the revision process; the release does not establish a more specific cause for July’s October adjustment.
What changed in the other revisions?
The revisions to May and June also moved across releases, which is why it is important to keep each estimate tied to its publication date.
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- August 7 release: BLS revised May from a gain of 129,000 to 63,000 and June from a gain of 57,000 to 20,000. Together, those May and June estimates were 103,000 lower than previously reported in that release.
- September 4 release: BLS revised June from a gain of 20,000 to 31,000 and July from a loss of 23,000 to a gain of 21,000. June and July together were 55,000 higher than previously reported in that release.
Is the 10,000 loss final?
No. The 10,000 decline is the latest July estimate in the BLS release published October 2, 2026. BLS cautions that archived Employment Situation releases can contain figures later revised and directs readers to its program databases for current estimates. The October estimate may therefore change again.
For the dated releases, see the BLS Employment Situation for July 2026, published August 7, the Employment Situation for August 2026, published September 4, and the Employment Situation for September 2026, published October 2. BLS also explains the status of archived releases on its Employment Situation archive page.
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