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Bitcoin was close to a bullish alignment of its 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages in a CoinDesk snapshot published October 5, 2026—but the crossover had not yet been confirmed. The signal occurs when the 50-day average is above the 100-day, which is above the 200-day. CoinDesk said the full ordering would return for the first time since June 24, 2025, if the 100-day average crossed above the 200-day.
What is the Bitcoin signal?
A simple moving average (SMA) is the average of an asset’s closing prices over a specified number of days. The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day averages are commonly used to compare shorter-, medium- and longer-term price trends. When they line up with the shortest average highest, the ordering suggests that recent prices have been stronger than prices over the longer lookback periods. It is a trend-reading convention, not a forecast or guarantee of future returns.
For the bullish ordering discussed by CoinDesk, the relationship must be:
- 50-day SMA above the 100-day SMA
- 100-day SMA above the 200-day SMA
In its October 5, 2026 report, CoinDesk listed Bitcoin’s 50-day SMA at $79,495, the 100-day at $79,493 and the 200-day at $79,539. Those values put the 100-day just below the 50-day and the 200-day still above both. The prospective crossover was the 100-day average moving above the 200-day; the figures were a snapshot, not confirmation that it had happened. CoinDesk’s October 5 report said the 100-day average was rising.
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CoinDesk described the full order as absent since the previous alignment formed on June 24, 2025. “That crossover would restore the order of 50-day above 100-day above 200-day for the first time since the previous alignment formed on June 24, 2025,” Giottus CEO Vikram Subburaj told the publication.
What would make the signal more convincing?
The averages’ ordering is only one part of the picture. Subburaj said the more consequential test is whether Bitcoin can stay above its 50-day average during a correction. A pullback that holds that level would be more consistent with a durable trend than a brief alignment followed by a break below it. He also cautioned: “The crossover strengthens the trend case, but it does not guarantee its continuation.”
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CoinDesk’s October 5 report described Bitcoin as having risen more than 40% to about $87,000 during the third quarter of 2026 before stalling near $85,000 as the U.S. Dollar Index rose. Those are conditions reported at that time, not live prices or a current market update.
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CoinDesk’s examples show that the same bullish label has accompanied very different price outcomes. The figures below are the report’s historical illustrations, not an independently reconstructed backtest or proof that the alignment predicts returns.
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| Alignment or setup | Duration reported | Bitcoin price action reported by CoinDesk |
|---|---|---|
| October 27, 2020 alignment | Held until May 2021 | About $13,600 at formation; above $64,000 by May 2021 |
| Early November 2023 alignment | Persisted until May 2024 | Rose from roughly $35,000 to $73,000 |
| June 2025 alignment | 97 days | Moved from about $106,000 to $112,000 |
| June 2024 setup | 20 days | Fell approximately 10% |
The October 2020 and November 2023 examples coincided with large advances, while the June 2025 alignment saw a more modest change and the June 2024 setup accompanied a decline. Duration and subsequent price action matter; the ordering by itself cannot establish what Bitcoin will do next.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.What does this mean for Bitcoin readers?
As of the CoinDesk snapshot dated October 5, 2026, Bitcoin was near a potential return of the three-average ordering, not at a confirmed new signal. Readers following the indicator can distinguish three separate questions:
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- Did the averages cross? Check whether the 100-day moved above the 200-day and whether the 50-day remained above the 100-day.
- Did the ordering last? A short-lived alignment is different from one that persists.
- How did price behave in a correction? Subburaj highlighted whether Bitcoin holds its 50-day average as a more consequential test of trend strength.
Even if all three averages line up, that describes past prices over different windows. It does not ensure that prices will keep rising, and the CoinDesk examples do not establish a statistical predictive relationship.
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