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Yes—but not all at once, and not because the Sun is expected to explode. Earth could become uninhabitable before the Sun swells into a red giant, an event expected in roughly five to six billion years. The Sun’s expansion is expected to destroy Mercury and Venus, while Earth’s fate is uncertain. A separate simulation puts the possible gravitational dispersal of the surviving outer planets on a characteristic timescale of roughly 100 billion years—not a guaranteed deadline.
What does “destroyed” mean?
There is no single Solar System death date. The answer depends on what is lost: Earth’s ability to support life, the inner planets as the Sun evolves, or the outer planets’ long-term gravitational arrangement.
| Meaning of “destroyed” | What happens | Approximate timescale | How certain is it? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earth becomes uninhabitable | Solar brightening makes Earth unsuitable for life before the red giant phase. | Before the Sun’s red giant stage; the cited NASA account does not give a precise date. | NASA describes this as preceding the red giant phase, not as the physical destruction of the whole system. NASA Science |
| The Sun transforms and the inner planets are affected | The Sun swells, sheds its outer layers, and ends as a white dwarf; Mercury and Venus are expected to be destroyed. | Roughly five to six billion years for the red giant transition. | A broad stellar-evolution expectation; Earth’s exact fate remains unsettled. NASA Science / Webb NASA Science |
| The outer planetary system dynamically dissolves | In one model, stellar encounters destabilize the expanded system and eventually eject its planets. | Roughly 100 billion years as a characteristic complete-dissolution timescale in the study. | A result from N-body simulations, not a forecast of a specific ejection date or a settled fate for every small body. Zink, Batygin, and Adams (2020) |
What happens as the Sun ages?
Earth’s habitability ends before the red giant phase
The Sun gradually brightens as it evolves. NASA says that this brightening will make Earth uninhabitable before the Sun reaches its red giant stage. That is an important distinction: the end of habitability is not the same event as the Sun physically engulfing a planet or dismantling the Solar System. NASA Science
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The Sun swells and becomes a white dwarf
NASA’s pages give rounded estimates of about five billion years and about six billion years for the Sun’s approach to its red giant phase. These are approximate figures from different explanatory accounts, not precise competing dates. NASA also describes the Sun as being halfway through an approximately 10-billion-year lifetime. As it runs out of core hydrogen, it will swell into a red giant, shed its outer layers, and leave a white dwarf remnant. NASA Science / Webb NASA
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Which planets are likely to survive the Sun’s expansion?
- Mercury and Venus: NASA says the red giant Sun is expected to destroy both planets. NASA Science / Webb
- Earth: Its survival is uncertain. NASA’s Webb article says the Sun may destroy Earth; NASA’s educational chapter says recent modeling suggests Earth probably will not survive intact. This is not a settled outcome. NASA Science / Webb NASA Science
- Mars: In NASA’s educational chapter, astronomer Dimitri Veras says, “I am confident that the Sun will swallow Mercury and Venus, and not Mars.” That is Veras’s assessment, not a guarantee that resolves every detail of Mars’s future. NASA Science
- Outer planets: As the Sun loses mass, the weaker gravitational pull allows surviving planets’ orbits to expand. NASA’s educational account says the Sun will shed about half its mass and illustrates Neptune’s eventual distance as roughly 60 Earth–Sun distances, compared with about 30 today. These are rounded educational estimates. NASA Science
NASA says the fate of more distant planets, particularly the gas giants, is unclear. Their orbits expanding does not by itself mean they are immediately ejected or destroyed.
Why does one model put outer-system dissolution so far in the future?
After the Sun’s evolution, the surviving outer planets would orbit farther from the remnant star. In the 2020 study by Jon K. Zink, Konstantin Batygin, and Fred C. Adams, that expanded configuration is vulnerable to gravitational disturbances from passing stars. The authors used N-body simulations to model this long-term process. Zink, Batygin, and Adams (2020)
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- For about 30 billion years in the model: Stellar encounters disturb the outer planets and move the system into a chaotic resonance region.
- Over roughly the following 10 billion years in the model: Most of the planets are ejected.
- Later in the simulated sequence: A close stellar encounter can free the remaining planet. The study gives roughly 100 billion years as the characteristic timescale for complete dynamical dissolution.
Those stages describe a modeled sequence, not a schedule that can be applied to the actual future of each planet. The result also does not establish the fate of every moon, small body, or hypothetical undiscovered planet.
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No explosion is needed for the major changes described here. NASA’s account is a gradual stellar-evolution sequence: the Sun grows into a red giant, sheds its outer layers, and becomes a white dwarf. Its mass loss weakens its gravitational hold on planets that survive. In the much later scenario modeled by Zink and colleagues, passing stars can then perturb the expanded outer system and eventually eject planets. NASA Zink, Batygin, and Adams (2020)
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How to interpret the timescales
Use the figures as different milestones, not steps on one precise countdown. The end of Earth’s habitability comes before the red giant stage; the Sun’s transformation is expected in roughly five to six billion years; and roughly 100 billion years is the characteristic complete-dissolution timescale in one outer-system simulation. The first two are rounded descriptions of the Sun’s evolution, while the last is a model result about long-term gravitational dynamics.
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