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A construction recovery could help Colliers International Group through its Engineering platform, which works on buildings, infrastructure and related projects. But that is a potential tailwind, not proof that earnings will rise by a particular amount—or that CIGI shares are attractively priced. Colliers also operates commercial real estate and investment management businesses, and its 2025 Engineering growth included acquisitions as well as internal growth.
What would count as a construction rebound?
“Construction rebound” can describe several different developments: more building permits or starts, more projects awarded, a recovery in infrastructure spending, or stronger demand for engineering and project-management services. Those signals do not necessarily move together, and a rise in construction activity does not translate automatically into an equivalent rise in Colliers’ revenue.
The investment question is whether a recovery produces more work for Colliers, whether the work is profitable, and whether the resulting earnings and cash flow are already reflected in the share price. The company’s public materials describe relevant service lines, but do not quantify its sensitivity to construction starts, awards, backlogs or utilization. The connection is therefore a thesis to test, not an established earnings formula.
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Where Colliers has construction exposure
Colliers groups its operations into three platforms: Commercial Real Estate, Engineering and Investment Management. Its Engineering work spans property and buildings, infrastructure and transportation, and water and environmental services. A stronger project pipeline could support demand for consulting and project-management work across some of those areas.
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The other platforms make Colliers more diversified than a pure-play construction-services company. Commercial Real Estate includes advisory, leasing, capital markets and outsourcing activities; Investment Management is another distinct business. Diversification can reduce dependence on one project cycle, but it does not remove cyclical exposure: commercial property transactions and capital-markets activity can also weaken when conditions deteriorate.
What the 2025 results show—and what they do not
Colliers reported fiscal 2025 results in February 2026. All amounts below are in US dollars. Revenue and adjusted earnings increased, while GAAP diluted EPS moved in the opposite direction, so the measures should not be treated as interchangeable.
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| Measure | 2025 | 2024 | What to note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.56 billion | $4.82 billion | Up 15% in 2025. |
| Adjusted EBITDA | $732.5 million | $644.2 million | Adjusted measure; not the same as GAAP operating earnings. |
| Adjusted EPS | $6.58 | $5.75 | Up 14% in 2025. |
| GAAP diluted EPS | $2.02 | $3.22 | The 2024 GAAP operating earnings comparison benefited from a reversal of contingent consideration expense tied to an acquisition. |
Segment revenue provides a more direct view of the Engineering platform’s recent scale and growth:
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1Scan for outdated or missing drivers - takes under a minute2Clear out junk files and repair common Windows errors3Fix the driver behind crashes, sound loss and screen glitches| Platform | 2025 revenue | 2025 growth | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Real Estate | $3.29 billion | 7% | Growth came from a business with transaction-sensitive as well as advisory and outsourcing activities. |
| Engineering | $1.73 billion | 40% | Colliers attributed the increase to recent acquisitions and solid internal growth; it is not a clean measure of construction-cycle demand. |
The 40% Engineering increase is evidence of a rapidly expanded platform, but not evidence that a broad construction rebound caused that growth. Acquisitions contributed materially, and the reported figure does not separate the construction cycle’s effect from acquired revenue or other internal growth.
What management expected for 2026
In its February 2026 outlook, management forecast mid-teens growth in consolidated revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS for 2026. The forecast included the expected contribution of the Ayesa Engineering acquisition. It was forward-looking guidance—not a reported result—and Colliers said macroeconomic, geopolitical, international trade and other conditions could affect the outlook. The May 2026 Q1 release said the outlook was unchanged at that time.
Colliers’ July 2026 Q2 release reported $365.6 million in trailing-twelve-month free cash flow, equal to 106% of adjusted net earnings, and $109.9 billion in assets under management as of June 30, 2026. These are company-reported measures for their stated period and date; they do not guarantee future cash generation or returns.
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What could strengthen or weaken the construction thesis?
A useful assessment separates construction demand from acquisition effects and then follows the path from work volume to shareholder economics. Relevant evidence includes:
- Organic Engineering growth: Look for results that distinguish internal growth from acquired revenue. That helps show whether the existing business is gaining work, rather than relying on platform expansion through acquisitions.
- Work pipeline and mix: Backlog, project awards, utilization and the mix of building, infrastructure, transportation, water and environmental work can help clarify exposure. The materials summarized here do not quantify Colliers’ construction sensitivity through those measures.
- Margins and cash conversion: Revenue growth matters more when it produces sustainable operating profit and cash. Track margins and cash generation alongside adjusted earnings, while noting how the company defines its non-GAAP measures.
- Acquisition integration and financing: Acquired growth can expand capabilities and revenue, but investors also need to assess integration, financing costs and whether acquisitions contribute profitably over time.
- Commercial Real Estate conditions: Leasing, capital-markets and advisory trends may offset or amplify Engineering performance. A construction recovery alone does not determine results across all three platforms.
- Valuation: Compare the share price with normalized earnings and cash flow, and assess relevant peers and debt-adjusted valuation. Growth rates by themselves cannot establish whether the stock is cheap or expensive.
Does a rebound make CIGI a buy?
Not on the evidence available here. A construction upswing is a plausible source of demand for Colliers’ Engineering platform, but the company has not quantified the link between construction activity and its revenue or earnings. Its 2025 Engineering growth also included acquisition contribution, while the company’s other platforms have their own drivers and cyclical risks.
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The figures establish operating momentum and management’s dated 2026 expectations; they do not establish a current valuation. No current share price, valuation multiple, debt-adjusted valuation or peer comparison is available in this evidence, so it cannot support a price target or a conclusion that CIGI is undervalued. An investor would need current valuation data and newer operating disclosures to judge whether the potential tailwind is both durable and reasonably priced.
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