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Companies can build some electronics in the United States, but current evidence does not show that complex consumer electronics can generally be made entirely here at globally competitive production costs. A Consumer Technology Association (CTA) study produced with Kearney and published October 6, 2026, modeled production costs 41% to 152% higher for full U.S. production across ten popular consumer technology product categories. That is a modeled production-cost increase, not a forecast that retail prices would rise by the same percentage.

The practical distinction is between making every part domestically and doing selected manufacturing or final assembly in the United States while sourcing components globally or from allied countries. CTA presents the latter as a more viable path. Whether either approach is “affordable” depends on the product, the definition of domestic production, the scale required, and which costs are counted.

What does “entirely in the United States” mean?

The phrase can describe very different things. A product may be designed in the United States, assembled here from imported parts, or made with some domestically produced components. None of those facts alone establishes that the electronics were made entirely in the country.

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For a strict interpretation, domestic production would need to cover the finished product and its relevant inputs—not merely the last assembly step. Electronics supply chains can include materials, components, manufacturing equipment, and specialized production stages. A domestic factory producing one part of that chain does not establish that all the other parts are domestic too.

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This distinction matters when assessing claims about U.S.-made products and when estimating costs. “Final assembly in the United States” is a narrower commitment than domestic sourcing of every component and material. Companies evaluating a project should state which operations and inputs they intend to locate in the country, rather than treating “made here” as a single, self-explanatory standard.

Would fully U.S.-made electronics cost more?

The strongest directly relevant figure in the available public summary comes from CTA’s October 2026 study, produced with Kearney. It modeled the cost of full domestic production across ten popular consumer technology product categories and estimated increases ranging from 41% to 152%. CTA says the model includes the cost of establishing sufficient domestic capacity, including infrastructure and facilities, energy, and workforce.

The range is a study estimate, not a universal surcharge for every electronic product. CTA’s public summary does not provide a complete product-by-product matrix, so the range should not be used to assign a specific increase to a particular device or to imply that all ten categories had the same result. Nor does it establish how much a finished product would cost at retail.

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Production cost is only one input to retail price. The study’s modeled increase cannot be translated directly into a matching increase at the register without information about other costs, pricing decisions, and how the production change would be reflected in a product’s price. No universal threshold for what counts as “affordable” is established by the cited evidence.

CTA also modeled partial U.S. reshoring and reported production-cost increases of up to 67%. This is not a single estimate for every degree of reshoring, every product, or every domestic assembly arrangement. It indicates that partial reshoring can also carry added cost in the study’s scenarios, but the public summary does not support a precise prediction for an individual company’s plan.

How the three production approaches compare

The key choice is not simply whether to build a factory. It is how much of the supply chain to place in the United States, what capacity that requires, and how much domestic value the company intends to add.

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Approach Production cost evidence Inputs and capacity What the approach establishes
Full domestic production CTA/Kearney’s October 2026 model estimated costs 41%–152% higher across ten popular consumer technology product categories. The model includes the cost of building sufficient domestic capacity, including facilities and infrastructure, energy, and workforce. Domestic sourcing of every relevant input is a demanding requirement. A strict effort to move production and its supporting capacity into the United States. The modeled range is not a retail-price forecast or a product-specific quote.
Partial reshoring or U.S. final assembly CTA reported modeled cost increases of up to 67% for partial reshoring; the public summary does not give one uniform figure for every product or arrangement. Components may still come from global suppliers or allied countries. The amount of domestic capacity needed depends on which production steps move. Domestic work—potentially including final assembly—without establishing that all components or materials are U.S.-made.
Global sourcing No comparable cost figure is stated in the cited public summaries. Uses international supplier networks rather than requiring every input and production step to be established domestically. Can preserve access to global sources, but does not amount to entirely U.S. production. The sources do not quantify a universal cost or resilience advantage.

The table reflects the scope of CTA’s public summary and the other cited materials; it is not a complete cost comparison for any particular product. In particular, “up to 67%” should not be read as the expected premium for every assembly project. The evidence does not provide company-level unit costs for a fully domestic finished consumer device.

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Why domestic capacity is more than an assembly line

A factory needs more than a building and a final product design. A company seeking domestic production must consider the capacity, equipment, energy, workforce, and supplier network needed to produce at the volume and quality its business requires. CTA’s model explicitly included costs for establishing sufficient capacity, which is why the investment required to create a domestic production base belongs in the calculation—not just the cost of running an already established factory.

Scale and time also affect a business decision. A production plan must distinguish between capacity that exists now and capacity that may come online later. Announced investments or government awards can indicate activity, but they do not show that a facility is already operating at the required scale or producing the specific inputs a company needs.

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These considerations explain why moving final assembly is different from replicating an entire supply chain. A company may be able to assemble a product in the United States while continuing to buy components from abroad. A commitment to domestic production of all parts would require a broader set of suppliers and production capabilities; the evidence does not establish that all such inputs are currently available domestically for every electronics category.

Why semiconductors illustrate the supply-chain challenge

Semiconductors are important to electronics, but chip fabrication is only one part of the broader production network. The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) describes semiconductor manufacturing as depending on materials, equipment, and components that pass through several global supplier layers. SIA says that onshoring every material and equipment input is not practical or economic, while identifying selected critical inputs as possible candidates for additional U.S. capacity. That is an industry association’s assessment, not an independent cost study.

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Federal awards and investment announcements show that capacity-building is underway, but they need to be read with their dates and status attached:

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  • The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported that, as of July 2025, the Commerce Department had awarded $30.9 billion across 40 semiconductor facility projects involving 19 companies. The projects were to construct, expand, or modernize facilities. The award total describes projects, not current domestic chip output.
  • GAO said companies expected to complete those projects by 2033. That is the reported expectation, not a guarantee that every project will finish by that date.
  • SIA’s tracker, updated September 22, 2026, counted more than 160 semiconductor ecosystem projects across 30 states and over $828 billion in announced private investments since 2020. These are industry-tracked, announced investments—not verified spending or completed production.

The figures describe different things: GAO’s dated account of federally supported facility projects and SIA’s broader industry tracker of ecosystem projects and announced private investment. Neither figure demonstrates that all chip types, packaging steps, materials, or other electronic components are already available from U.S. suppliers. A growing domestic semiconductor footprint may contribute to a supply chain without making an entire finished electronics product domestic.

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How a company can judge whether a domestic plan is affordable

There is no single cost premium that answers the question for every company. A useful evaluation starts by defining the production claim and then testing the costs and dependencies behind it. These questions help distinguish an achievable domestic assembly program from a plan that assumes a complete local supply chain without establishing one.

  1. Define the domestic-content goal. Specify whether the plan covers design, component production, materials, chip production, other manufacturing steps, final assembly, or some combination. Do not treat domestic assembly as proof that all inputs are U.S.-made.
  2. Identify the exact product and required inputs. Map the components and materials the product needs and establish where each would come from. The available evidence does not provide a universal domestic-sourcing answer for every product category.
  3. Separate existing capacity from planned capacity. Check whether the facilities and suppliers needed for the intended production are operating now or are still projects. Keep awards, announced investment, expected completion dates, and current output distinct.
  4. Count the cost of creating capacity. Include the facilities and infrastructure, energy, and workforce needed to establish sufficient domestic production, as CTA’s model did. A comparison that counts only factory operating costs would not match the scope of that model.
  5. Compare the intended scale and timeline. Determine what volume the company needs and when it needs to produce it. A project announcement or a planned completion date does not by itself establish that capacity will be ready for a particular product or production schedule.
  6. Compare domestic value added with supply-chain reach. Decide which production steps are important to locate in the United States and where global or allied-country sourcing remains necessary. CTA’s public summary identifies selective domestic final assembly, component access, and allied-country sourcing as a more viable path than making every component domestically.
  7. Keep the financial outputs separate. Distinguish modeled production costs from retail prices, and do not apply a study’s category-wide range as a quote for a company’s own product. The public CTA summary does not establish a specific unit cost for an individual domestic production program.

This process does not guarantee that a domestic plan will meet a company’s target price. It does make the decision more useful: the company can see whether its goal is domestic assembly, a limited set of domestic inputs, or a fully domestic chain—and what evidence it has for the cost and capacity assumptions behind that goal.

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What the available figures do—and do not—show

CTA Executive Board Chair Gary Shapiro said of the October 6, 2026, study: “As policymakers across the political spectrum push for more U.S. manufacturing, this study provides new data on what it would cost to actually produce popular technology products in the United States.” The statement describes the study’s purpose; the modeled figures still need to be understood within the study’s stated scope.

Taken together, the evidence supports a qualified answer. Some electronics manufacturing can take place in the United States, and domestic semiconductor projects are being funded and announced. But the CTA/Kearney estimate signals a substantial modeled production-cost penalty for full domestic production of its ten studied product categories, while the semiconductor supply-chain account illustrates why a local factory does not make every input local. Selective U.S. production and assembly with international sourcing is a different strategy from making an entire product domestically, and it should be described that way.

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